Lucca Sicula: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Agrigento (reference capital: Agrigento), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (44/100).
No weather alerts today for Lucca Sicula · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Lucca Sicula, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (10:30) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Agrigento
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Lucca Sicula is Agrigento
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Lucca Sicula is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare44/100
- 2Meteo.it44/100
- 33BMeteo39/100
- 4Apple Weather38/100No public website
- 5iLMeteo.it35/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Agrigento, compared with what actually happened
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowoffRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighoffLowoffRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 26 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 19 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the high for 15 days in a row
The situation around Lucca Sicula
Rain on a good share of the days around Agrigento over the last seven days. Over the last 14 days, Meteo Aeronautica Militare has the highest score for the Lucca Sicula area, but the runner-up is less than 3 points behind: the ranking can change from one day to the next. For rain alone, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is iLMeteo.it, while a third service leads on temperatures. Sustained wind for a good part of the week. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 2 finished No. 1. Calamonaci is the exception: a different service leads there. Rain makes up three quarters of the score and temperature one quarter: in a week this wet, rain is what makes the difference.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
2 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Lucca Sicula
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Nearby towns
Localities in Lucca Sicula
Get to know Lucca Sicula
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Agrigento area had an average accuracy index of 64 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 90 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow64/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead65/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead62/100 · fairly reliable