Elmas: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Cagliari (reference capital: Cagliari), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (51/100).
No weather alerts today for Elmas · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Apple Weather
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Elmas, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (11:25) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Cagliari
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Elmas is Cagliari
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Elmas is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Apple Weather51/100No public website
- 2Meteo Aeronautica Militare48/100
- 3Meteo.it42/100
- 43BMeteo40/100
- 5iLMeteo.it33/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Cagliari, compared with what actually happened
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighcloseLowcloseRaincorrect
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo.it has nailed the low for 7 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has called the rain right for 5 days in a row
- iLMeteo.it has called the rain right for 5 days in a row
The situation around Elmas
Around Cagliari, precipitation was frequent over the past week. Apple Weather tops the 14-day ranking for the Elmas area, but by a minimal margin of under 3 points over the second-placed service. For temperatures, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is Meteo.it. Frequent windy days, with gusts that were strong at times. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 3 moved up to No. 2. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Cagliari, Sestu).
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
2 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Elmas
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Elmas
Get to know Elmas
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Cagliari area had an average accuracy index of 75 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 10 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow75/100 · very reliable
- 2 days ahead72/100 · very reliable
- 5 days ahead71/100 · very reliable