Fragagnano: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Taranto (reference capital: Taranto), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (75/100).
Yellow alert today for thunderstorms and hydrogeological risk
Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Fragagnano, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:10) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Taranto
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Fragagnano is Taranto
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Fragagnano is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare75/100
- 2Apple Weather75/100No public website
- 33BMeteo62/100
- 4iLMeteo.it62/100
- 5Meteo.it49/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Taranto, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowcloseRainwrong
- iLMeteo.itHighspot onLowcloseRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 16 days in a row
- Apple Weather has nailed the low for 3 days in a row
- Meteo.it has called the rain right for 3 days in a row
The situation around Fragagnano
Around Taranto, precipitation was frequent over the past week. Leading for the Fragagnano area over the last 14 days is Meteo Aeronautica Militare, although its lead over the runner-up is under 3 points. On rain alone, however, Apple Weather does better in the provincial capital's data. The wind made itself felt at moderate strength. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 2 over the week finished No. 1. Roccaforzata is the exception: a different service leads there. Worth noting: yesterday the service ranked last overall was among the two most accurate on the provincial capital's report card. With this much rain, the part of the score that weighs most is the precipitation forecast (three quarters of the total).
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Fragagnano
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Get to know Fragagnano
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Taranto area had an average accuracy index of 70 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 61 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow70/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead69/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead66/100 · fairly reliable