Nociglia: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Lecce (reference capital: Lecce), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (81/100).
Yellow alert today for thunderstorms and hydrogeological risk
Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Apple Weather
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Nociglia, with light intensity. It is moving south-west at about 24 km/h.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:15) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Lecce
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Nociglia is Lecce
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Nociglia is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Apple Weather81/100No public website
- 23BMeteo78/100
- 3Meteo Aeronautica Militare76/100
- 4Meteo.it60/100
- 5iLMeteo.it43/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Lecce, compared with what actually happened
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Apple Weather has nailed the high for 15 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has called the rain right for 4 days in a row
- Apple Weather has nailed the low for 4 days in a row
The situation around Nociglia
A wet week around Lecce, with frequent precipitation. Over the last 14 days, Apple Weather has the highest score for the Nociglia area. Looking at temperatures only, first place in the provincial capital goes to Meteo Aeronautica Militare. Strong wind for most of the week, with intense gusts. In nearby municipalities (Surano, San Cassiano) the leading service does not change.
Updated on 13 October 2026
One year ago today
Rainiest day ever recorded: 50.9 mm (11 October 2026)
The previous record was 24.6 on 1 April 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Nociglia
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Get to know Nociglia
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Lecce area had an average accuracy index of 74 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 21 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow74/100 · very reliable
- 2 days ahead73/100 · very reliable
- 5 days ahead69/100 · fairly reliable