Celenza Valfortore: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Foggia (reference capital: Foggia), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (85/100).
Yellow alert today for thunderstorms and hydrogeological risk
Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Celenza Valfortore, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:50) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Foggia
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Celenza Valfortore is Foggia
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Celenza Valfortore is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare85/100
- 23BMeteo80/100
- 3Apple Weather71/100No public website
- 4Meteo.it67/100
- 5iLMeteo.it51/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Foggia, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo.itHighcloseLowcloseRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowcloseRainwrong
- iLMeteo.itHighcloseLowcloseRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighcloseLowcloseRaincorrect
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- 3BMeteo has called the rain right for 19 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 19 days in a row
- Apple Weather has nailed the high for 6 days in a row
The situation around Celenza Valfortore
A rainy week around Foggia: rain fell on several of the last seven days. The 14-day ranking for the Celenza Valfortore area is led by Meteo Aeronautica Militare. For rain forecasts alone, however, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is 3BMeteo. Worth noting: the wind, strong on several days. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 2 over the week finished No. 1. In nearby municipalities (San Marco la Catola, Carlantino) the leading service does not change. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Celenza Valfortore
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Get to know Celenza Valfortore
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Foggia area had an average accuracy index of 72 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 34 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow72/100 · very reliable
- 2 days ahead71/100 · very reliable
- 5 days ahead67/100 · fairly reliable