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Back to the province of Verbano-Cusio-Ossola

Toceno: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Verbano-Cusio-Ossola (reference capital: Verbania), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (68/100).

Earthquakes · Toceno Air quality · Toceno

No weather alerts today for Toceno · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 63% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 83% of the time
Across 4 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Toceno, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (10:40) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Verbano-Cusio-Ossola

Observed data for 11 October
20°
High
9°
Low
No rain

The reference provincial capital for Toceno is Verbano-Cusio-Ossola

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Toceno is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

VB72%VA8%CO5%NO4%BI3%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    68/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    Apple Weather
    60/100
    No public website
  3. 3
    3BMeteo
    56/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    iLMeteo.it
    54/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    Meteo.it
    53/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Verbano-Cusio-Ossola, compared with what actually happened

Meteo.itWinner of the day
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowoffRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighoffLowoffRaincorrect

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 6 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has called the rain right for 5 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has called the rain right for 5 days in a row

The situation around Toceno

A rainy week around Verbano-Cusio-Ossola: rain fell on several of the last seven days. Leading for the Toceno area over the last 14 days is Meteo Aeronautica Militare. For temperatures, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is 3BMeteo. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 2 finished No. 1. Nearby municipalities (Santa Maria Maggiore, Craveggia) have the same service in first place. Worth noting: yesterday the service ranked last overall was among the two most accurate on the provincial capital's report card.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:39
Sunrise
18:44
Sunset
11h 5m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Toceno

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Santa Maria Maggiore
2.2 km
Craveggia
2.5 km
Villette
6.2 km
Druogno
6.6 km

Localities in Toceno

Alpe Canva
Alpe Caulin
Alpe Cortaccio di Vocogno
Alpe di Ruggia
Alpe Motta Bugiola
Alpe Motta di Vocogno
Alpe Ovia
Alpe Peccio di Vocogno
Alpe Pezza Crociata
Alpe Pianezza di Vocogno

Get to know Toceno

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Verbano-Cusio-Ossola area had an average accuracy index of 65 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 85 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    65/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    66/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    61/100 · fairly reliable
771
Inhabitants
103065
ISTAT code
Verbano-Cusio-Ossola (VB) • Piedmont