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Back to the province of Novara

Cavallirio: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Novara (reference capital: Novara), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (90/100).

Earthquakes · Cavallirio Air quality · Cavallirio

No weather alerts today for Cavallirio · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 100% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 86% of the time
Across 3 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Cavallirio, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:05) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Novara

Observed data for 11 October
20°
High
9°
Low
No rain

The reference provincial capital for Cavallirio is Novara

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Cavallirio is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

NO79%VC8%BI5%VA3%VB2%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    90/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    3BMeteo
    77/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    Meteo.it
    72/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    iLMeteo.it
    58/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    Apple Weather
    56/100
    No public website

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Novara, compared with what actually happened

Meteo.itWinner of the day
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowoffRaincorrect

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • 3BMeteo has called the rain right for 39 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has called the rain right for 39 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 36 days in a row

The situation around Cavallirio

A rainy week around Novara: rain fell on several of the last seven days. Leading for the Cavallirio area over the last 14 days is Meteo Aeronautica Militare, 12 points clear of the runner-up. Little wind: light breezes on most days. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 4 finished No. 2. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Prato Sesia, Boca).

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:39
Sunrise
18:45
Sunset
11h 6m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Cavallirio

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Prato Sesia
2.4 km
Boca
2.5 km
Romagnano Sesia
3.5 km
Maggiora
3.7 km

Localities in Cavallirio

Cascina Polera
Cavallirio
Stoccada

Get to know Cavallirio

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Novara area had an average accuracy index of 76 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 9 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    76/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    75/100 · very reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    71/100 · very reliable
1,249
Inhabitants
003047
ISTAT code
Novara (NO) • Piedmont