Termoli: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Campobasso (reference capital: Campobasso), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (84/100).
Yellow alert today for thunderstorms
Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Termoli, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:45) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Campobasso
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Termoli is Campobasso
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Termoli is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare84/100
- 23BMeteo75/100
- 3Apple Weather71/100No public website
- 4Meteo.it66/100
- 5iLMeteo.it55/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Campobasso, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighoffLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighoffLowoffRainwrong
- Meteo.itHighoffLowcloseRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighoffLowcloseRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighcloseLowoffRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 21 days in a row
- Meteo.it has called the rain right for 19 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has called the rain right for 4 days in a row
The situation around Termoli
Rain on a good share of the days around Campobasso over the last seven days. Meteo Aeronautica Militare leads the 14-day ranking for the Termoli area by a wide margin: 8 points over the runner-up. For temperatures, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is Meteo.it. Worth noting: the wind, strong on several days. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 5 over the week finished No. 2. Nearby municipalities (San Giacomo degli Schiavoni, Guglionesi) have the same service in first place.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Termoli
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Get to know Termoli
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Campobasso area had an average accuracy index of 60 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 101 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow60/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead59/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead55/100 · fairly reliable