Mafalda: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Campobasso (reference capital: Campobasso), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (84/100).

Earthquakes · Mafalda Air quality · Mafalda

Yellow alert today for thunderstorms

Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Matches the most accurate service in the province

Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 100% of actual rainfall

When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time

Across 5 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Mafalda, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:00) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Campobasso

Observed data for 11 October

24°

High

15°

Low

0.9 mm of rain

Hottest provincial capital in the regionColdest provincial capital in the region

The reference provincial capital for Mafalda is Campobasso

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Mafalda is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy

How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

CB60%CH19%IS7%PE4%FG3%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

1
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
84/100
meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
2
3BMeteo
75/100
3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
3
Apple Weather
71/100
No public website
4
Meteo.it
65/100
meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
5
iLMeteo.it
57/100
ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Campobasso, compared with what actually happened

Meteo Aeronautica MilitareWinner of the day

Meteo Aeronautica Militare
HighoffLowspot onRaincorrect
Apple Weather
HighoffLowoffRainwrong
Meteo.it
HighoffLowcloseRaincorrect
3BMeteo
HighoffLowcloseRaincorrect
iLMeteo.it
HighcloseLowoffRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 21 days in a row
Meteo.it has called the rain right for 19 days in a row
3BMeteo has called the rain right for 4 days in a row

The situation around Mafalda

Around Campobasso, precipitation was frequent over the past week. Over the last 14 days, Meteo Aeronautica Militare has the highest score for the Mafalda area, 9 points ahead of the runner-up. On temperatures alone, however, Meteo.it is more accurate in the provincial capital's data. Worth noting: the wind, strong on several days. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 5 finished No. 2. In nearby municipalities (Montenero di Bisaccia, Dogliola) the leading service does not change.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:10

Sunrise

18:23

Sunset

11h 13m

Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Mafalda

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Montenero di Bisaccia

Localities in Mafalda

Mafalda

Get to know Mafalda

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Campobasso area had an average accuracy index of 60 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 101 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

For tomorrow
60/100 · fairly reliable
2 days ahead
59/100 · fairly reliable
5 days ahead
55/100 · fairly reliable

1,231

Inhabitants

070036

ISTAT code

Campobasso (CB) • Molise