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Back to the province of Campobasso

Guardialfiera: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Campobasso (reference capital: Campobasso), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (85/100).

Earthquakes · Guardialfiera Air quality · Guardialfiera

No weather alerts today for Guardialfiera · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 100% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time
Across 5 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Guardialfiera, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:05) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Campobasso

Observed data for 11 October
24°
High
15°
Low
0.9 mm of rain
Hottest provincial capital in the regionColdest provincial capital in the region

The reference provincial capital for Guardialfiera is Campobasso

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Guardialfiera is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

CB74%CH7%IS6%FG4%BN3%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    85/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    3BMeteo
    75/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    Apple Weather
    70/100
    No public website
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    66/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    56/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Campobasso, compared with what actually happened

Meteo Aeronautica MilitareWinner of the day
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    HighoffLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    HighoffLowoffRainwrong
  • Meteo.it
    HighoffLowcloseRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    HighoffLowcloseRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowoffRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 21 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has called the rain right for 19 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has called the rain right for 4 days in a row

The situation around Guardialfiera

Rain on a good share of the days around Campobasso over the last seven days. Leading for the Guardialfiera area over the last 14 days is Meteo Aeronautica Militare, 10 points clear of the runner-up. On temperatures alone, however, Meteo.it is more accurate in the provincial capital's data. Sustained wind for a good part of the week. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 5 finished No. 2. In nearby municipalities (Acquaviva Collecroce, Lupara) the leading service does not change.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:10
Sunrise
18:23
Sunset
11h 13m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Guardialfiera

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Acquaviva Collecroce
5.6 km
Lupara
6.1 km
Casacalenda
6.9 km
Palata
7 km

Localities in Guardialfiera

Casareni
Colle Falcone
Colle Vezziello
Costa del Riccio
Difesa dei Bovi
Guardialfiera
Lago delle Tavole
Piano degli Zingari

Get to know Guardialfiera

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Campobasso area had an average accuracy index of 60 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 101 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    60/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    59/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    55/100 · fairly reliable
1,120
Inhabitants
070027
ISTAT code
Campobasso (CB) • Molise