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Back to the province of Macerata

Urbisaglia: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Macerata (reference capital: Macerata), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (74/100).

Earthquakes · Urbisaglia Air quality · Urbisaglia

No weather alerts today for Urbisaglia · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 70% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time
Across 5 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Urbisaglia, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:45) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Macerata

Observed data for 11 October
22°
High
16°
Low
1.5 mm of rain

The reference provincial capital for Urbisaglia is Macerata

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Urbisaglia is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

MC81%FM10%AP3%AN3%TE<1%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    74/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    3BMeteo
    72/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    Apple Weather
    61/100
    No public website
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    57/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    41/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Macerata, compared with what actually happened

Meteo Aeronautica MilitareWinner of the day
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowoffRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 17 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 11 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 7 days in a row

The situation around Urbisaglia

A wet week around Macerata, with frequent precipitation. Meteo Aeronautica Militare tops the 14-day ranking for the Urbisaglia area, but by a minimal margin of under 3 points over the second-placed service. The wind made itself felt at moderate strength. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 4 over the week finished No. 2. Nearby municipalities (Tolentino, Colmurano) have the same service in first place.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:17
Sunrise
18:27
Sunset
11h 11m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Urbisaglia

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Tolentino
4 km
Colmurano
4.2 km
Petriolo
5.5 km
Loro Piceno
5.6 km

Localities in Urbisaglia

Entogge
Maestà 
Urbisaglia

Get to know Urbisaglia

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Macerata area had an average accuracy index of 71 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 43 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    71/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    70/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    65/100 · fairly reliable
2,712
Inhabitants
043055
ISTAT code
Macerata (MC) • Marche