Monte Cavallo: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Macerata (reference capital: Macerata), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (72/100).
No weather alerts today for Monte Cavallo · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Monte Cavallo, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (11:20) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Macerata
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Monte Cavallo is Macerata
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Monte Cavallo is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare72/100
- 23BMeteo68/100
- 3Apple Weather62/100No public website
- 4Meteo.it57/100
- 5iLMeteo.it41/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Macerata, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighcloseLowoffRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 17 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 11 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 7 days in a row
The situation around Monte Cavallo
A wet week around Macerata, with frequent precipitation. Over the last 14 days, Meteo Aeronautica Militare has the highest score for the Monte Cavallo area. Moderate and fairly steady wind through the week. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 4 finished No. 2. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Pieve Torina, Serravalle di Chienti).
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Monte Cavallo
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Monte Cavallo
Get to know Monte Cavallo
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Macerata area had an average accuracy index of 71 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 43 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow71/100 · very reliable
- 2 days ahead70/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead65/100 · fairly reliable