Sant'Elpidio a Mare: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Fermo (reference capital: Fermo), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (71/100).
No weather alerts today for Sant'Elpidio a Mare · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
3BMeteo
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Sant'Elpidio a Mare, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (10:00) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Fermo
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Sant'Elpidio a Mare is Fermo
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Sant'Elpidio a Mare is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 13BMeteo71/100
- 2Apple Weather70/100No public website
- 3Meteo Aeronautica Militare69/100
- 4Meteo.it52/100
- 5iLMeteo.it52/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Fermo, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowcloseRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 30 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the low for 6 days in a row
- iLMeteo.it has called the rain right for 4 days in a row
The situation around Sant'Elpidio a Mare
A rainy week around Fermo: rain fell on several of the last seven days. Over the last 14 days, 3BMeteo has the highest score for the Sant'Elpidio a Mare area, but the runner-up is less than 3 points behind: the ranking can change from one day to the next. On temperatures alone, however, iLMeteo.it is more accurate in the provincial capital's data. Moderate wind on several days. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 3 over the week finished No. 1. Civitanova Marche is the exception: a different service leads there. Worth noting: yesterday the service ranked last overall was among the two most accurate on the provincial capital's report card.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Sant'Elpidio a Mare
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Sant'Elpidio a Mare
Get to know Sant'Elpidio a Mare
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Fermo area had an average accuracy index of 74 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 12 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow74/100 · very reliable
- 2 days ahead73/100 · very reliable
- 5 days ahead69/100 · fairly reliable