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Monte Rinaldo: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Fermo (reference capital: Fermo), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (72/100).

Earthquakes · Monte Rinaldo Air quality · Monte Rinaldo

No weather alerts today for Monte Rinaldo · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

3BMeteo

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 67% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time
Across 6 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Monte Rinaldo, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (10:00) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Fermo

Observed data for 11 October
22°
High
16°
Low
5.3 mm of rain

The reference provincial capital for Monte Rinaldo is Fermo

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Monte Rinaldo is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

FM82%AP13%MC3%TE1%AN<1%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    3BMeteo
    72/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    Apple Weather
    71/100
    No public website
  3. 3
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    69/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    iLMeteo.it
    54/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    Meteo.it
    52/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Fermo, compared with what actually happened

Meteo Aeronautica MilitareWinner of the day
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowcloseRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 30 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has nailed the low for 6 days in a row
  • iLMeteo.it has called the rain right for 4 days in a row

The situation around Monte Rinaldo

A rainy week around Fermo: rain fell on several of the last seven days. 3BMeteo tops the 14-day ranking for the Monte Rinaldo area, but by a minimal margin of under 3 points over the second-placed service. For temperatures, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is iLMeteo.it. Moderate and fairly steady wind through the week. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 3 moved up to No. 1. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Ortezzano, Montelparo).

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:16
Sunrise
18:27
Sunset
11h 11m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Monte Rinaldo

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Ortezzano
2.5 km
Montelparo
2.9 km
Monsampietro Morico
3.1 km
Montottone
3.6 km

Localities in Monte Rinaldo

Monte Rinaldo

Get to know Monte Rinaldo

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Fermo area had an average accuracy index of 74 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 12 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    74/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    73/100 · very reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    69/100 · fairly reliable
397
Inhabitants
109021
ISTAT code
Fermo (FM) • Marche