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Massa Fermana: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Fermo (reference capital: Fermo), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (72/100).

No weather alerts today for Massa Fermana · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

3BMeteo

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 67% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time
Across 6 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Massa Fermana, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (10:00) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Fermo

Observed data for 11 October
22°
High
16°
Low
5.3 mm of rain

The reference provincial capital for Massa Fermana is Fermo

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Massa Fermana is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

FM79%MC12%AP4%AN2%TE1%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    3BMeteo
    72/100
  2. 2
    Apple Weather
    70/100
    No public website
  3. 3
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    69/100
  4. 4
    iLMeteo.it
    54/100
  5. 5
    Meteo.it
    52/100

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Fermo, compared with what actually happened

Meteo Aeronautica MilitareWinner of the day
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowcloseRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 30 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has nailed the low for 6 days in a row
  • iLMeteo.it has called the rain right for 4 days in a row

The situation around Massa Fermana

Around Fermo, precipitation was frequent over the past week. Over the last 14 days, 3BMeteo has the highest score for the Massa Fermana area, but the runner-up is less than 3 points behind: the ranking can change from one day to the next. On temperatures alone, however, iLMeteo.it is more accurate in the provincial capital's data. The wind made itself felt at moderate strength. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 3 moved up to No. 1. Mogliano is the exception: a different service leads there.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:16
Sunrise
18:27
Sunset
11h 11m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Massa Fermana

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Nearby towns

Localities in Massa Fermana

Madonnetta
Massa Fermana
Selva
Villa Berarde

Get to know Massa Fermana

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Fermo area had an average accuracy index of 74 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 12 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    74/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    73/100 · very reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    69/100 · fairly reliable
1,002
Inhabitants
109011
ISTAT code
Fermo (FM) • Marche