Fabriano: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Ancona (reference capital: Ancona), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (71/100).
No weather alerts today for Fabriano · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Fabriano, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:00) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Ancona
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Fabriano is Ancona
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Fabriano is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare71/100
- 2Apple Weather69/100No public website
- 33BMeteo64/100
- 4Meteo.it51/100
- 5iLMeteo.it37/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Ancona, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighspot onLowoffRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 36 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the low for 17 days in a row
- Apple Weather has called the rain right for 5 days in a row
The situation around Fabriano
Around Ancona, precipitation was frequent over the past week. Leading for the Fabriano area over the last 14 days is Meteo Aeronautica Militare, although its lead over the runner-up is under 3 points. On rain alone, Apple Weather does better in the provincial capital's data; on temperatures, yet another service is the most accurate. The wind made itself felt at moderate strength. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 4 finished No. 3. Nearby municipalities (Cerreto d'Esi, Genga) have the same service in first place. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Fabriano
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Nearby towns
Localities in Fabriano
Get to know Fabriano
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Ancona area had an average accuracy index of 71 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 46 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow71/100 · very reliable
- 2 days ahead72/100 · very reliable
- 5 days ahead68/100 · fairly reliable