Back to the province of Ancona

Cupramontana: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Ancona (reference capital: Ancona), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (72/100).

No weather alerts today for Cupramontana · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 72% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 81% of the time
Across 6 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Cupramontana, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (11:20) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Ancona

Observed data for 11 October
22°
High
16°
Low
2.7 mm of rain

The reference provincial capital for Cupramontana is Ancona

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Cupramontana is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

AN79%MC8%PU4%FM3%PG2%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    72/100
  2. 2
    Apple Weather
    71/100
    No public website
  3. 3
    3BMeteo
    66/100
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    51/100
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    35/100

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Ancona, compared with what actually happened

Meteo.itWinner of the day
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    Highspot onLowoffRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 36 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has nailed the low for 17 days in a row
  • Apple Weather has called the rain right for 5 days in a row

The situation around Cupramontana

Around Ancona, precipitation was frequent over the past week. Over the last 14 days, Meteo Aeronautica Militare has the highest score for the Cupramontana area, but the runner-up is less than 3 points behind: the ranking can change from one day to the next. For rain alone, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is Apple Weather, while a third service leads on temperatures. Moderate and fairly steady wind through the week. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 4 finished No. 3. Nearby municipalities (San Paolo di Jesi, Staffolo) have the same service in first place. Rain makes up three quarters of the score and temperature one quarter: in a week this wet, rain is what makes the difference.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:18
Sunrise
18:28
Sunset
11h 10m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Cupramontana

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Nearby towns

Localities in Cupramontana

Cupramontana
Poggio Cupro
Ponte Magno
San Bartolomeo
San Michele

Get to know Cupramontana

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Ancona area had an average accuracy index of 71 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 46 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    71/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    72/100 · very reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    68/100 · fairly reliable
4,838
Inhabitants
042016
ISTAT code
Ancona (AN) • Marche