Lavena Ponte Tresa: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Varese (reference capital: Varese), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (64/100).
No weather alerts today for Lavena Ponte Tresa · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Lavena Ponte Tresa, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (10:35) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Varese
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Lavena Ponte Tresa is Varese
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Lavena Ponte Tresa is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare64/100
- 2Apple Weather56/100No public website
- 3iLMeteo.it52/100
- 4Meteo.it51/100
- 53BMeteo51/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Varese, compared with what actually happened
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighcloseLowoffRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 5 days in a row
- Apple Weather has nailed the low for 3 days in a row
The situation around Lavena Ponte Tresa
A wet week around Varese, with frequent precipitation. Over the last 14 days, Meteo Aeronautica Militare has the highest score for the Lavena Ponte Tresa area, 8 points ahead of the runner-up. On temperatures alone, however, Meteo.it is more accurate in the provincial capital's data. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 4 moved up to No. 1. Nearby municipalities (Marzio, Marchirolo) have the same service in first place. A curious detail: yesterday the service ranked last overall was among the two most accurate on the provincial capital's report card.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Lavena Ponte Tresa
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Nearby towns
Localities in Lavena Ponte Tresa
Get to know Lavena Ponte Tresa
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Varese area had an average accuracy index of 72 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 39 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow72/100 · very reliable
- 2 days ahead73/100 · very reliable
- 5 days ahead68/100 · fairly reliable