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Back to the province of Varese

Carnago: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Varese (reference capital: Varese), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (65/100).

Earthquakes · Carnago Air quality · Carnago

No weather alerts today for Carnago · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 50% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time
Across 5 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Carnago, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (11:20) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Varese

Observed data for 11 October
20°
High
9°
Low
No rain

The reference provincial capital for Carnago is Varese

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Carnago is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

VA79%NO5%CO5%MI3%MB3%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    65/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    Apple Weather
    56/100
    No public website
  3. 3
    Meteo.it
    52/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    iLMeteo.it
    52/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    3BMeteo
    51/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Varese, compared with what actually happened

Apple WeatherWinner of the day
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowoffRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 5 days in a row
  • Apple Weather has nailed the low for 3 days in a row

The situation around Carnago

A rainy week around Varese: rain fell on several of the last seven days. Leading for the Carnago area over the last 14 days is Meteo Aeronautica Militare, 9 points clear of the runner-up. On temperatures alone, however, Meteo.it is more accurate in the provincial capital's data. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 4 finished No. 1. Nearby municipalities (Solbiate Arno, Castelseprio) have the same service in first place. Worth noting: yesterday the service ranked last overall was among the two most accurate on the provincial capital's report card.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:37
Sunrise
18:43
Sunset
11h 5m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Carnago

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Solbiate Arno
2 km
Castelseprio
2 km
Gornate Olona
2.2 km
Caronno Varesino
2.2 km

Localities in Carnago

Borghetto
Carbonolo Inferiore
Carbonolo Superiore
Carnago
Cascina San Remigio
Rovate
Stribiana Inferiore

Get to know Carnago

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Varese area had an average accuracy index of 72 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 39 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    72/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    73/100 · very reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    68/100 · fairly reliable
6,502
Inhabitants
012033
ISTAT code
Varese (VA) • Lombardy