Valfurva: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Sondrio (reference capital: Sondrio), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (55/100).
No weather alerts today for Valfurva · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Apple Weather
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Valfurva, with light intensity. It is moving south-east at about 34 km/h.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (16:00) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Sondrio
Observed data for 12 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Valfurva is Sondrio
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Valfurva is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Apple Weather55/100No public website
- 2Meteo Aeronautica Militare54/100
- 3Meteo.it47/100
- 43BMeteo45/100
- 5iLMeteo.it40/100
Yesterday's report card
12 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Sondrio, compared with what actually happened
- iLMeteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighoffLowcloseRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighoffLowoffRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighoffLowoffRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighoffLowoffRaincorrect
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo.it has called the rain right for 14 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 10 days in a row
The situation around Valfurva
A rainy week around Sondrio: rain fell on several of the last seven days. The 14-day ranking for the Valfurva area is very tight: Apple Weather leads by less than 3 points over the runner-up. On rain alone, Meteo Aeronautica Militare does better in the provincial capital's data; on temperatures, yet another service is the most accurate. Little wind: light breezes on most days. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 3 over the week finished No. 2. Sondalo is the exception: a different service leads there. A curious detail: yesterday the service ranked last overall was among the two most accurate on the provincial capital's report card. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Valfurva
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Nearby towns
Localities in Valfurva
Get to know Valfurva
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Sondrio area had an average accuracy index of 53 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 106 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow53/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead53/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead52/100 · fairly reliable