Monticelli Pavese: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Pavia (reference capital: Pavia), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (74/100).
No weather alerts today for Monticelli Pavese · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Monticelli Pavese, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:45) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Pavia
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Monticelli Pavese is Pavia
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Monticelli Pavese is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare74/100
- 23BMeteo66/100
- 3Apple Weather63/100No public website
- 4Meteo.it61/100
- 5iLMeteo.it55/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Pavia, compared with what actually happened
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 39 days in a row
- Apple Weather has nailed the high for 18 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has nailed the low for 15 days in a row
The situation around Monticelli Pavese
A wet week around Pavia, with frequent precipitation. Over the last 14 days, Meteo Aeronautica Militare has the highest score for the Monticelli Pavese area, 8 points ahead of the runner-up. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 5 over the week finished No. 1. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Chignolo Po, Pieve Porto Morone).
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Monticelli Pavese
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Monticelli Pavese
Get to know Monticelli Pavese
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Pavia area had an average accuracy index of 76 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 4 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow76/100 · very reliable
- 2 days ahead76/100 · very reliable
- 5 days ahead71/100 · very reliable