Gropello Cairoli: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Pavia (reference capital: Pavia), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (80/100).
No weather alerts today for Gropello Cairoli · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Gropello Cairoli, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:20) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Pavia
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Gropello Cairoli is Pavia
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Gropello Cairoli is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare80/100
- 23BMeteo68/100
- 3Apple Weather65/100No public website
- 4Meteo.it63/100
- 5iLMeteo.it60/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Pavia, compared with what actually happened
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 39 days in a row
- Apple Weather has nailed the high for 18 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has nailed the low for 15 days in a row
The situation around Gropello Cairoli
Rain on a good share of the days around Pavia over the last seven days. The 14-day ranking for the Gropello Cairoli area shows a clear gap: Meteo Aeronautica Militare is 12 points ahead of the second-placed service. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 5 finished No. 1. Nearby municipalities (Villanova d'Ardenghi, Zerbolò) have the same service in first place.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Gropello Cairoli
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Gropello Cairoli
Get to know Gropello Cairoli
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Pavia area had an average accuracy index of 76 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 4 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow76/100 · very reliable
- 2 days ahead76/100 · very reliable
- 5 days ahead71/100 · very reliable