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Back to the province of Pavia

Bagnaria: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Pavia (reference capital: Pavia), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (77/100).

Earthquakes · Bagnaria Air quality · Bagnaria

No weather alerts today for Bagnaria · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 75% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time
Across 4 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Bagnaria, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:45) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Pavia

Observed data for 11 October
22°
High
11°
Low
No rain

The reference provincial capital for Bagnaria is Pavia

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Bagnaria is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

PV57%AL10%PC9%GE9%LO5%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    77/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    3BMeteo
    68/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    Apple Weather
    63/100
    No public website
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    62/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    54/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Pavia, compared with what actually happened

Apple WeatherWinner of the day
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 39 days in a row
  • Apple Weather has nailed the high for 18 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has nailed the low for 15 days in a row

The situation around Bagnaria

A rainy week around Pavia: rain fell on several of the last seven days. The 14-day ranking for the Bagnaria area shows a clear gap: Meteo Aeronautica Militare is 10 points ahead of the second-placed service. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 5 over the week finished No. 1. In nearby municipalities (Gremiasco, Ponte Nizza) the leading service does not change.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:35
Sunrise
18:43
Sunset
11h 7m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Bagnaria

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Gremiasco
2.9 km
Ponte Nizza
3.1 km
Varzi
5.3 km
Cecima
5.5 km

Localities in Bagnaria

Bagnaria
Ca' Rotta
Casa Arcano
Casa Barletta
Casa Bosco
Casa Brigiona
Casa Galeotti
Casa Massone
Casa Meitina
Cascina Antonietta

Get to know Bagnaria

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Pavia area had an average accuracy index of 76 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 4 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    76/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    76/100 · very reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    71/100 · very reliable
675
Inhabitants
018007
ISTAT code
Pavia (PV) • Lombardy