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Cogliate: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Monza e Brianza (reference capital: Monza), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (77/100).

Earthquakes · Cogliate Air quality · Cogliate

No weather alerts today for Cogliate · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 13 October 2026 at 14:56

At the province level

Catches 75% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 86% of the time
Across 4 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Cogliate, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (15:10) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Monza e Brianza

Observed data for 12 October
20°
High
13°
Low
No rain

The reference provincial capital for Cogliate is Monza e Brianza

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Cogliate is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

MB75%MI9%CO5%VA4%LC3%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    77/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    Meteo.it
    60/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    3BMeteo
    59/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Apple Weather
    54/100
    No public website
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    48/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

12 October

Forecasts made the day before for Monza e Brianza, compared with what actually happened

Meteo.itWinner of the day
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 40 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 8 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has called the rain right for 7 days in a row

The situation around Cogliate

Around Monza e Brianza, precipitation was frequent over the past week. Meteo Aeronautica Militare leads the 14-day ranking for the Cogliate area by a wide margin: 17 points over the runner-up. Nearby municipalities (Misinto, Ceriano Laghetto) have the same service in first place.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:36
Sunrise
18:42
Sunset
11h 6m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Cogliate

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Misinto
1.5 km
Ceriano Laghetto
2.4 km
Lazzate
2.5 km
Barlassina
2.9 km

Localities in Cogliate

Cascina Clerici
Cogliate

Get to know Cogliate

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Monza e Brianza area had an average accuracy index of 76 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 8 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    76/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    75/100 · very reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    71/100 · very reliable
8,450
Inhabitants
108020
ISTAT code
Monza e Brianza (MB) • Lombardy