Sermide e Felonica: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Mantua (reference capital: Mantua), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (61/100).
No weather alerts today for Sermide e Felonica · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Apple Weather
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Sermide e Felonica, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (11:25) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Mantova
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Sermide e Felonica is Mantova
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Sermide e Felonica is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Apple Weather61/100No public website
- 23BMeteo58/100
- 3Meteo Aeronautica Militare55/100
- 4Meteo.it50/100
- 5iLMeteo.it48/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Mantova, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowcloseRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 39 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has nailed the low for 7 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 7 days in a row
The situation around Sermide e Felonica
A wet week around Mantova, with frequent precipitation. The 14-day ranking for the Sermide e Felonica area is led by Apple Weather. For rain alone, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is 3BMeteo, while a third service leads on temperatures. Gentle breezes, with no notable gusts. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Castelmassa, Calto). One more note: yesterday the service ranked last overall was among the two most accurate on the provincial capital's report card. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Sermide e Felonica
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Sermide e Felonica
Get to know Sermide e Felonica
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Mantova area had an average accuracy index of 77 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 1 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow77/100 · very reliable
- 2 days ahead76/100 · very reliable
- 5 days ahead72/100 · very reliable