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Vailate: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Cremona (reference capital: Cremona), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (59/100).

No weather alerts today for Vailate · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 39% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time
Across 6 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Vailate, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (11:20) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Cremona

Observed data for 11 October
22°
High
12°
Low
1.8 mm of rain

The reference provincial capital for Vailate is Cremona

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Vailate is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

CR54%LO15%MB8%BG7%MI6%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    59/100
  2. 2
    3BMeteo
    58/100
  3. 3
    Apple Weather
    54/100
    No public website
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    54/100
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    42/100

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Cremona, compared with what actually happened

Meteo.itWinner of the day
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowspot onRainwrong
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 39 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has nailed the low for 32 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 32 days in a row

The situation around Vailate

Rain on a good share of the days around Cremona over the last seven days. Meteo Aeronautica Militare tops the 14-day ranking for the Vailate area, but by a minimal margin of under 3 points over the second-placed service. On rain alone, however, 3BMeteo does better in the provincial capital's data. Light wind for most of the week. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 2 moved up to No. 1. In nearby municipalities (Arzago d'Adda, Misano di Gera d'Adda) the leading service is not always the same. Rain makes up three quarters of the score and temperature one quarter: in a week this wet, rain is what makes the difference.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:34
Sunrise
18:40
Sunset
11h 6m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Vailate

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Nearby towns

Localities in Vailate

Vailate

Get to know Vailate

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Cremona area had an average accuracy index of 76 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 3 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    76/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    76/100 · very reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    72/100 · very reliable
4,460
Inhabitants
019112
ISTAT code
Cremona (CR) • Lombardy