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Cermenate: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Como (reference capital: Como), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (65/100).

Earthquakes · Cermenate Air quality · Cermenate

No weather alerts today for Cermenate · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 50% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time
Across 4 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Cermenate, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (11:40) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Como

Observed data for 11 October
20°
High
10°
Low
No rain

The reference provincial capital for Cermenate is Como

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Cermenate is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

CO71%MB11%MI5%VA5%LC4%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    65/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    Meteo.it
    57/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    3BMeteo
    55/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    iLMeteo.it
    50/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    Apple Weather
    49/100
    No public website

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Como, compared with what actually happened

iLMeteo.itWinner of the day
  • iLMeteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowoffRaincorrect

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • iLMeteo.it has nailed the low for 15 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 4 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 4 days in a row

The situation around Cermenate

A wet week around Como, with frequent precipitation. The 14-day ranking for the Cermenate area shows a clear gap: Meteo Aeronautica Militare is 8 points ahead of the second-placed service. On temperatures alone, however, iLMeteo.it is more accurate in the provincial capital's data. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Carimate, Bregnano). One more note: yesterday the service ranked last overall was among the two most accurate on the provincial capital's report card.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:36
Sunrise
18:42
Sunset
11h 6m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Cermenate

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Carimate
2 km
Bregnano
2.3 km
Vertemate con Minoprio
3 km
Cadorago
3.3 km

Localities in Cermenate

Asnago di Cermenate
Cascina Lavezzari
Cermenate
Montesordo
Santa Maria in Campo

Get to know Cermenate

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Como area had an average accuracy index of 74 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 18 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    74/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    75/100 · very reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    68/100 · fairly reliable
9,023
Inhabitants
013064
ISTAT code
Como (CO) • Lombardy