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Tolfa: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Rome (reference capital: Rome), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (71/100).

Earthquakes · Tolfa Air quality · Tolfa

No weather alerts today for Tolfa · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

3BMeteo

There is no clear winner at the province level
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Tolfa, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:45) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Roma

Observed data for 11 October
24°
High
14°
Low
0.8 mm of rain
Hottest provincial capital in the region

The reference provincial capital for Tolfa is Roma

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Tolfa is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

RM50%VT27%TR7%RI5%GR4%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    3BMeteo
    71/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    66/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    Apple Weather
    64/100
    No public website
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    60/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    53/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Roma, compared with what actually happened

3BMeteoWinner of the day
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • iLMeteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo.it has nailed the low for 5 days in a row
  • iLMeteo.it has nailed the high for 5 days in a row
  • Apple Weather has nailed the low for 4 days in a row

The situation around Tolfa

A wet week around Roma, with frequent precipitation. The 14-day ranking for the Tolfa area is led by 3BMeteo. Looking at temperatures only, first place in the provincial capital goes to Meteo Aeronautica Militare. Moderate and fairly steady wind through the week. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 4 moved up to No. 3. Nearby municipalities (Allumiere, Canale Monterano) have the same service in first place.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:21
Sunrise
18:34
Sunset
11h 13m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Tolfa

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Allumiere
5.8 km
Canale Monterano
8.3 km
Vejano
9.2 km
Blera
10.3 km

Localities in Tolfa

Casa Baldone
Casa Clemente
Casa La Piscina
Casale Bartoli
Casale dei Frati
Casale della Cicugnola
Casale di Sant'Ansino
Casale La Concia
Casale Lo Stazzone
Casale Mellini

Get to know Tolfa

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Roma area had an average accuracy index of 74 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 17 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    74/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    75/100 · very reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    69/100 · fairly reliable
5,147
Inhabitants
058105
ISTAT code
Rome (RM) • Lazio