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Tolfa

Yellow alert today for thunderstorms

Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 25 August

Today, the most reliable forecast for Tolfa is

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

See the forecast on Meteo Aeronautica Militare
Matches the most accurate service in the province
Updated on 25 August 2026 at 07:44

At the province level

Catches 50% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time
Across 24 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Tolfa, with light intensity. It is moving north-east at about 46 km/h.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:30) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Roma

Observed data for 23 August
35°
High
21°
Low
No rain

The reference provincial capital for Tolfa is Roma

Why trust this recommendation?

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services against the actual weather in Tolfa. Meteo Aeronautica Militare gets it wrong less often than the others: over the latest period it got 6 out of 10 forecasts right.

Weather service ranking

Most accurate yesterday

Meteo Aeronautica Militare nailed it.

1
Meteo Aeronautica Militare56%
2
iLMeteo.it55%
3
3BMeteo54%

Most reliable this week

Meteo Aeronautica Militare was the most accurate.

1
Meteo Aeronautica Militare56%
2
iLMeteo.it55%
3
3BMeteo54%

Yesterday's report card

23 August

Forecasts made the day before for Roma, compared with what actually happened

Apple WeatherWinner of the day
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo.it has nailed the high for 35 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 18 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has nailed the low for 12 days in a row

The weather in Tolfa

The past few days saw several weather fronts pass over Tolfa. The competition is fierce, with Meteo Aeronautica Militare leading the table by a razor-thin margin over iLMeteo.it. Anyone after precision on temperatures may prefer iLMeteo.it. The gusts of wind broke the sultry heat. In Vejano, 3BMeteo comes out on top instead.

Updated on 25 August 2026

Sun and moon today

06:29
Sunrise
19:58
Sunset
13h 29m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing gibbous, 93% illuminated

Map of Tolfa

Loading map…

Nearby towns

How was this calculated?

The score is calculated by interpolating data from 8 nearby provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

RM50%VT27%TR7%RI5%GR4%+3 more

Localities in Tolfa

Casa Baldone
Casa Clemente
Casa La Piscina
Casale Bartoli
Casale dei Frati
Casale della Cicugnola
Casale di Sant'Ansino
Casale La Concia
Casale Lo Stazzone
Casale Mellini

Get to know Tolfa

How predictable is the weather around here? Over the last two months, forecasts for the Roma area were right 75% of the time on average. It is the 2th most predictable area in Italy out of 107.

How much to trust forecasts, depending on how far ahead they are:

  • For tomorrow
    75% · almost always right
  • 2 days ahead
    76% · almost always right
  • 5 days ahead
    74% · almost always right
5,147
Inhabitants
058105
ISTAT code
Roma (RM) • Lazio

How does it work? Every day we collect weather forecasts and compare them against real data to determine which service is most reliable for Tolfa.

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