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Back to the province of Rieti

Toffia: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Rieti (reference capital: Rieti), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (78/100).

Earthquakes · Toffia Air quality · Toffia

No weather alerts today for Toffia · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 80% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time
Across 5 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Toffia, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:05) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Rieti

Observed data for 11 October
23°
High
13°
Low
No rain

The reference provincial capital for Toffia is Rieti

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Toffia is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

RI74%RM14%TR3%VT3%AQ2%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    78/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    3BMeteo
    70/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    Meteo.it
    67/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Apple Weather
    66/100
    No public website
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    54/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Rieti, compared with what actually happened

Apple WeatherWinner of the day
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 31 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 16 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has nailed the high for 9 days in a row

The situation around Toffia

Rain on a good share of the days around Rieti over the last seven days. The 14-day ranking for the Toffia area shows a clear gap: Meteo Aeronautica Militare is 8 points ahead of the second-placed service. Looking at temperatures only, first place in the provincial capital goes to Meteo.it. The wind made itself felt at moderate strength. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 5 finished No. 1. Nerola is the exception: a different service leads there.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:18
Sunrise
18:31
Sunset
11h 12m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Toffia

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Poggio Nativo
2.6 km
Nerola
3.8 km
Castelnuovo di Farfa
4.5 km
Frasso Sabino
4.9 km

Localities in Toffia

Casta della Mola
Toffia

Get to know Toffia

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Rieti area had an average accuracy index of 70 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 55 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    70/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    69/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    65/100 · fairly reliable
1,002
Inhabitants
057068
ISTAT code
Rieti (RI) • Lazio