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Back to the province of Rieti

Ascrea: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Rieti (reference capital: Rieti), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (78/100).

Earthquakes · Ascrea Air quality · Ascrea

No weather alerts today for Ascrea · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 80% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time
Across 5 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Ascrea, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:10) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Rieti

Observed data for 11 October
23°
High
13°
Low
No rain

The reference provincial capital for Ascrea is Rieti

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Ascrea is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

RI73%RM11%AQ5%TR3%VT2%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    78/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    3BMeteo
    70/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    Meteo.it
    67/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Apple Weather
    66/100
    No public website
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    53/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Rieti, compared with what actually happened

Apple WeatherWinner of the day
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowspot onRaincorrect

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 31 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 16 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has nailed the high for 9 days in a row

The situation around Ascrea

A wet week around Rieti, with frequent precipitation. Meteo Aeronautica Militare leads the 14-day ranking for the Ascrea area by a wide margin: 8 points over the runner-up. On temperatures alone, however, Meteo.it is more accurate in the provincial capital's data. Moderate wind on several days. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 5 finished No. 1. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Castel di Tora, Paganico Sabino).

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:17
Sunrise
18:30
Sunset
11h 12m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Ascrea

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Castel di Tora
1.1 km
Paganico Sabino
3.3 km
Colle di Tora
4 km
Varco Sabino
4.9 km

Localities in Ascrea

Are Santa Maria
Ascrea
Casali Pezzola
Cese
Mola Sforzini
Pianangeli
Stipes
Valleverde Stipes

Get to know Ascrea

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Rieti area had an average accuracy index of 70 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 55 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    70/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    69/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    65/100 · fairly reliable
266
Inhabitants
057004
ISTAT code
Rieti (RI) • Lazio