Arnara: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Frosinone (reference capital: Frosinone), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (55/100).
No weather alerts today for Arnara · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
3BMeteo
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Arnara, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (10:30) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Frosinone
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Arnara is Frosinone
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Arnara is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 13BMeteo55/100
- 2Apple Weather54/100No public website
- 3Meteo Aeronautica Militare54/100
- 4Meteo.it46/100
- 5iLMeteo.it37/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Frosinone, compared with what actually happened
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- iLMeteo.itHighoffLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 31 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the low for 6 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 6 days in a row
The situation around Arnara
A rainy week around Frosinone: rain fell on several of the last seven days. 3BMeteo tops the 14-day ranking for the Arnara area, but by a minimal margin of under 3 points over the second-placed service. For rain alone, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is Apple Weather, while a third service leads on temperatures. Moderate wind on several days. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 3 over the week finished No. 1. Nearby municipalities (Ceccano, Torrice) have the same service in first place. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Arnara
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Nearby towns
Localities in Arnara
Get to know Arnara
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Frosinone area had an average accuracy index of 69 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 64 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow69/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead70/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead65/100 · fairly reliable