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Back to the province of Modena

Soliera: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Modena (reference capital: Modena), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (70/100).

Earthquakes · Soliera Air quality · Soliera

No weather alerts today for Soliera · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

3BMeteo

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 67% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 89% of the time
Across 4 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Soliera, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (10:25) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Modena

Observed data for 11 October
23°
High
13°
Low
2.4 mm of rain

The reference provincial capital for Soliera is Modena

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Soliera is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

MO67%RE13%MN5%BO5%RO2%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    3BMeteo
    70/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    Apple Weather
    60/100
    No public website
  3. 3
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    55/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    49/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    35/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Modena, compared with what actually happened

Apple WeatherWinner of the day
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighoffLowoffRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 6 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has nailed the low for 5 days in a row
  • Apple Weather has nailed the low for 5 days in a row

The situation around Soliera

A rainy week around Modena: rain fell on several of the last seven days. Leading for the Soliera area over the last 14 days is 3BMeteo, 10 points clear of the runner-up. For temperatures, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is Meteo Aeronautica Militare. Little wind: light breezes on most days. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 3 moved up to No. 1. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Bastiglia, Carpi).

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:28
Sunrise
18:35
Sunset
11h 7m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Soliera

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Bastiglia
5.4 km
Carpi
5.7 km
Modena
6.3 km
San Prospero
7 km

Localities in Soliera

Appalto
Cà  Annoni
Ca' Casarini
Casa Campori
Casa Tassoni
Casinaccio
Cà  Zironi
Fondo Littorio
Fornace
La Corte

Get to know Soliera

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Modena area had an average accuracy index of 64 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 91 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    64/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    64/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    60/100 · fairly reliable
15,061
Inhabitants
036044
ISTAT code
Modena (MO) • Emilia-Romagna