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Montecreto: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Modena (reference capital: Modena), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (72/100).

Earthquakes · Montecreto Air quality · Montecreto

No weather alerts today for Montecreto · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

3BMeteo

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 67% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 89% of the time
Across 4 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Montecreto, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (10:25) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Modena

Observed data for 11 October
23°
High
13°
Low
2.4 mm of rain

The reference provincial capital for Montecreto is Modena

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Montecreto is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

MO54%LU11%PT10%PO7%RE6%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    3BMeteo
    72/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    Apple Weather
    63/100
    No public website
  3. 3
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    56/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    51/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    37/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Modena, compared with what actually happened

Apple WeatherWinner of the day
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighoffLowoffRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 6 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has nailed the low for 5 days in a row
  • Apple Weather has nailed the low for 5 days in a row

The situation around Montecreto

Around Modena, precipitation was frequent over the past week. Leading for the Montecreto area over the last 14 days is 3BMeteo, 9 points clear of the runner-up. For temperatures, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is Meteo Aeronautica Militare. Gentle breezes, with no notable gusts. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 3 finished No. 1. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Sestola, Lama Mocogno).

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:28
Sunrise
18:37
Sunset
11h 8m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Montecreto

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Sestola
5 km
Lama Mocogno
5.8 km
Riolunato
5.9 km
Fanano
8.4 km

Localities in Montecreto

Acquaria
Bandita
Cà  Baratta
Cà  Benassi
Cà  Bondiolo
Cà  Bosi
Cà  Camatti
Cà  Caporale
Cà  de' Busi
Cà  del Conte

Get to know Montecreto

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Modena area had an average accuracy index of 64 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 91 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    64/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    64/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    60/100 · fairly reliable
1,000
Inhabitants
036024
ISTAT code
Modena (MO) • Emilia-Romagna