Back to the province of Forlì-Cesena

Roncofreddo: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Forlì-Cesena (reference capital: Forlì), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (78/100).

No weather alerts today for Roncofreddo · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 83% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time
Across 3 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Roncofreddo, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:05) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Forlì-Cesena

Observed data for 11 October
23°
High
12°
Low
No rain

The reference provincial capital for Roncofreddo is Forlì-Cesena

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Roncofreddo is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

FC77%RN12%RA3%PU3%AR2%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    78/100
  2. 2
    3BMeteo
    68/100
  3. 3
    Apple Weather
    53/100
    No public website
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    40/100
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    32/100

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Forlì-Cesena, compared with what actually happened

Meteo Aeronautica MilitareWinner of the day
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 24 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has called the rain right for 5 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 3 days in a row

The situation around Roncofreddo

A wet week around Forlì-Cesena, with frequent precipitation. Meteo Aeronautica Militare leads the 14-day ranking for the Roncofreddo area by a wide margin: 10 points over the runner-up. Light wind for most of the week. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 3 moved up to No. 2. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Montiano, Cesena).

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:22
Sunrise
18:31
Sunset
11h 9m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Roncofreddo

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Nearby towns

Localities in Roncofreddo

Ardiano
Ardiano alta
Castiglione
Cento
Diolaguardia
Felloniche
Gualdo
Monteaguzzo
Montebora
Montecodruzzo

Get to know Roncofreddo

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Forlì-Cesena area had an average accuracy index of 73 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 29 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    73/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    73/100 · very reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    69/100 · fairly reliable
3,395
Inhabitants
040037
ISTAT code
Forlì-Cesena (FC) • Emilia-Romagna