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Castel di Casio: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Bologna (reference capital: Bologna), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (70/100).

No weather alerts today for Castel di Casio · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

3BMeteo

Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 67% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 73% of the time
Across 4 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Castel di Casio, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:15) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Bologna

Observed data for 11 October
23°
High
13°
Low
0.7 mm of rain
Hottest provincial capital in the region

The reference provincial capital for Castel di Casio is Bologna

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Castel di Casio is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

BO50%PO18%PT12%FI6%MO5%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    3BMeteo
    70/100
  2. 2
    Apple Weather
    69/100
    No public website
  3. 3
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    57/100
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    53/100
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    43/100

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Bologna, compared with what actually happened

Meteo.itWinner of the day
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowcloseRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 23 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 8 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 8 days in a row

The situation around Castel di Casio

A wet week around Bologna, with frequent precipitation. Over the last 14 days, 3BMeteo has the highest score for the Castel di Casio area, but the runner-up is less than 3 points behind: the ranking can change from one day to the next. Rain and temperatures have different winners: in the provincial capital Apple Weather does best on rain, and another service again on temperatures. Moderate wind on several days. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 2 over the week finished No. 1. Sambuca Pistoiese is the exception: a different service leads there. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:27
Sunrise
18:36
Sunset
11h 9m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Castel di Casio

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Nearby towns

Localities in Castel di Casio

Badi
Bagnana
Ballina
Batocchio
Bazzola
Bellavista
Belvedere
Berzantina
Bianci
Bocca Nord

Get to know Castel di Casio

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Bologna area had an average accuracy index of 73 out of 100 (average across all services). It ranks 25 of 107 among Italy's most predictable areas.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    73/100 · very reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    74/100 · very reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    66/100 · fairly reliable
3,479
Inhabitants
037015
ISTAT code
Bologna (BO) • Emilia-Romagna