Montaguto: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Avellino (reference capital: Avellino), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (78/100).
Yellow alert today for hydrogeological risk
Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Montaguto, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:15) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Avellino
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Montaguto is Avellino
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Montaguto is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare78/100
- 23BMeteo76/100
- 3Apple Weather75/100No public website
- 4Meteo.it67/100
- 5iLMeteo.it39/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Avellino, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- 3BMeteoHighcloseLowcloseRainwrong
- iLMeteo.itHighcloseLowcloseRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 14 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the low for 4 days in a row
The situation around Montaguto
Rain on a good share of the days around Avellino over the last seven days. Meteo Aeronautica Militare tops the 14-day ranking for the Montaguto area, but by a minimal margin of under 3 points over the second-placed service. Rain and temperatures have different winners: in the provincial capital Apple Weather does best on rain, and another service again on temperatures. Light wind for most of the week. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 4 moved up to No. 3. In nearby municipalities (Savignano Irpino, Greci) the leading service does not change. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Montaguto
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Montaguto
Get to know Montaguto
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Avellino area had an average accuracy index of 65 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 84 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow65/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead67/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead62/100 · fairly reliable