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Back to the province of Avellino

Mercogliano: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Avellino (reference capital: Avellino), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (77/100).

Earthquakes · Mercogliano Air quality · Mercogliano

Yellow alert today for hydrogeological risk

Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Apple Weather

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 83% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 88% of the time
Across 6 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Mercogliano, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (11:25) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Avellino

Observed data for 11 October
23°
High
14°
Low
0.6 mm of rain

The reference provincial capital for Mercogliano is Avellino

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Mercogliano is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

AV70%BN10%NA9%CE4%SA3%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Apple Weather
    77/100
    No public website
  2. 2
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    74/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    3BMeteo
    73/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    67/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    35/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Avellino, compared with what actually happened

Meteo Aeronautica MilitareWinner of the day
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • Apple Weather
    Highspot onLowspot onRainwrong
  • 3BMeteo
    HighcloseLowcloseRainwrong
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowcloseRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 14 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has nailed the low for 4 days in a row

The situation around Mercogliano

Rain on a good share of the days around Avellino over the last seven days. The 14-day ranking for the Mercogliano area is very tight: Apple Weather leads by less than 3 points over the runner-up. For temperatures, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is Meteo.it. Light wind for most of the week. In nearby municipalities (Ospedaletto d'Alpinolo, Monteforte Irpino) the leading service does not change.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:09
Sunrise
18:24
Sunset
11h 15m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Mercogliano

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Ospedaletto d'Alpinolo
2.4 km
Monteforte Irpino
3 km
Summonte
4.4 km
Avellino
4.6 km

Localities in Mercogliano

Capocastello
Serroni
Torelli
Torrette

Get to know Mercogliano

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Avellino area had an average accuracy index of 65 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 84 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    65/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    67/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    62/100 · fairly reliable
12,403
Inhabitants
064049
ISTAT code
Avellino (AV) • Campania