Lacedonia: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Avellino (reference capital: Avellino), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (76/100).
Yellow alert today for hydrogeological risk
Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Lacedonia, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:45) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Avellino
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Lacedonia is Avellino
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Lacedonia is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare76/100
- 2Apple Weather76/100No public website
- 33BMeteo75/100
- 4Meteo.it66/100
- 5iLMeteo.it38/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Avellino, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- 3BMeteoHighcloseLowcloseRainwrong
- iLMeteo.itHighcloseLowcloseRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 14 days in a row
- Meteo.it has nailed the low for 4 days in a row
The situation around Lacedonia
A wet week around Avellino, with frequent precipitation. Over the last 14 days, Meteo Aeronautica Militare has the highest score for the Lacedonia area, but the runner-up is less than 3 points behind: the ranking can change from one day to the next. For rain alone, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is Apple Weather, while a third service leads on temperatures. Light wind for most of the week. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 4 finished No. 3. In nearby municipalities (Rocchetta Sant'Antonio, Bisaccia) the leading service is not always the same. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Lacedonia
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Nearby towns
Localities in Lacedonia
Get to know Lacedonia
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Avellino area had an average accuracy index of 65 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 84 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow65/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead67/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead62/100 · fairly reliable