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Avella: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Avellino (reference capital: Avellino), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (74/100).

Earthquakes · Avella Air quality · Avella

Yellow alert today for hydrogeological risk

Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

There is no clear winner at the province level
Data updated on 13 October 2026 at 14:56

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Avella, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (15:10) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Avellino

Observed data for 12 October
23°
High
17°
Low
6.5 mm of rain

The reference provincial capital for Avella is Avellino

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Avella is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

AV60%BN14%NA14%CE6%SA2%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    74/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    3BMeteo
    71/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    Apple Weather
    69/100
    No public website
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    66/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    32/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

12 October

Forecasts made the day before for Avellino, compared with what actually happened

3BMeteoWinner of the day
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowoffRaincorrect
  • Meteo.it
    Highspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • Apple Weather
    HighoffLowoffRainwrong
  • iLMeteo.it
    HighcloseLowoffRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the high for 15 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has nailed the low for 5 days in a row
  • Meteo.it has nailed the high for 3 days in a row

The situation around Avella

Around Avellino, precipitation was frequent over the past week. The 14-day ranking for the Avella area is very tight: Meteo Aeronautica Militare leads by less than 3 points over the runner-up. Rain and temperatures have different winners: in the provincial capital 3BMeteo does best on rain, and another service again on temperatures. Light wind for most of the week. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 3 finished No. 1. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Sperone, Baiano). In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:10
Sunrise
18:24
Sunset
11h 15m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Avella

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Sperone
2.9 km
Baiano
3.5 km
Sirignano
3.9 km
Cervinara
4.2 km

Localities in Avella

Avella
Parete attrezzata per l'arrampicata
Purgatorio

Get to know Avella

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Avellino area had an average accuracy index of 65 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 85 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    65/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    67/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    62/100 · fairly reliable
7,788
Inhabitants
064007
ISTAT code
Avellino (AV) • Campania