Melissa: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Crotone (reference capital: Crotone), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (63/100).
Yellow alert today for thunderstorms and hydrogeological risk and flood risk
Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Apple Weather
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Melissa, with light intensity. It is moving south at about 38 km/h.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:05) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Crotone
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Melissa is Crotone
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Melissa is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Apple Weather63/100No public website
- 23BMeteo61/100
- 3Meteo Aeronautica Militare54/100
- 4iLMeteo.it45/100
- 5Meteo.it43/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Crotone, compared with what actually happened
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRainwrong
- iLMeteo.itHighspot onLowoffRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Apple Weather has called the rain right for 4 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 3 days in a row
The situation around Melissa
Rain on a good share of the days around Crotone over the last seven days. The 14-day ranking for the Melissa area is very tight: Apple Weather leads by less than 3 points over the runner-up. On temperatures alone, however, iLMeteo.it is more accurate in the provincial capital's data. Wind was the defining feature of the week, with strong gusts almost every day. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Carfizzi, San Nicola dell'Alto). Worth noting: yesterday the service ranked last overall was among the two most accurate on the provincial capital's report card.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Melissa
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Melissa
Get to know Melissa
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Crotone area had an average accuracy index of 63 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 95 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow63/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead63/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead61/100 · fairly reliable