Oriolo: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Cosenza (reference capital: Cosenza), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, 3BMeteo got it wrong least often in this area (75/100).
Yellow alert today for thunderstorms and hydrogeological risk and flood risk
Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
3BMeteo
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Oriolo, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (14:30) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Cosenza
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Oriolo is Cosenza
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Oriolo is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 13BMeteo75/100
- 2Meteo Aeronautica Militare74/100
- 3Apple Weather73/100No public website
- 4Meteo.it54/100
- 5iLMeteo.it53/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Cosenza, compared with what actually happened
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- Apple WeatherHighcloseLowcloseRaincorrect
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Apple Weather has called the rain right for 4 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 3 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has called the rain right for 3 days in a row
The situation around Oriolo
A wet week around Cosenza, with frequent precipitation. 3BMeteo tops the 14-day ranking for the Oriolo area, but by a minimal margin of under 3 points over the second-placed service. On temperatures alone, however, iLMeteo.it is more accurate in the provincial capital's data. Sustained wind for a good part of the week. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 2 moved up to No. 1. Cersosimo is the exception: a different service leads there.
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Oriolo
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Oriolo
Get to know Oriolo
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Cosenza area had an average accuracy index of 56 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 104 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow56/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead57/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead54/100 · fairly reliable