Lago: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of Cosenza (reference capital: Cosenza), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Apple Weather got it wrong least often in this area (72/100).
Yellow alert today for thunderstorms and hydrogeological risk and flood risk
Source: Italian Civil Protection Department · 13 October
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Apple Weather
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Lago, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (15:10) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in Cosenza
Observed data for 12 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Lago is Cosenza
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Lago is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Apple Weather72/100No public website
- 23BMeteo70/100
- 3Meteo Aeronautica Militare65/100
- 4Meteo.it56/100
- 5iLMeteo.it51/100
Yesterday's report card
12 OctoberForecasts made the day before for Cosenza, compared with what actually happened
- Apple WeatherHighspot onLowspot onRaincorrect
- iLMeteo.itHighspot onLowoffRainwrong
- 3BMeteoHighcloseLowcloseRaincorrect
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighcloseLowoffRaincorrect
- Meteo.itHighcloseLowcloseRaincorrect
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- Apple Weather has called the rain right for 5 days in a row
- Meteo Aeronautica Militare has called the rain right for 4 days in a row
- Meteo.it has called the rain right for 4 days in a row
The situation around Lago
A wet week around Cosenza, with frequent precipitation. The 14-day ranking for the Lago area is very tight: Apple Weather leads by less than 3 points over the runner-up. Rain and temperatures have different winners: in the provincial capital 3BMeteo does best on rain, and another service again on temperatures. Sustained wind for a good part of the week. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 3 finished No. 2. The top-ranked service is the same in nearby municipalities too (Belmonte Calabro, Aiello Calabro). One more note: yesterday the service ranked last overall was among the two most accurate on the provincial capital's report card. With this much rain, the part of the score that weighs most is the precipitation forecast (three quarters of the total).
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
2 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Lago
Loading map…
Nearby towns
Localities in Lago
Get to know Lago
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Cosenza area had an average accuracy index of 56 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 104 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow56/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead57/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead54/100 · fairly reliable