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Back to the province of Potenza

Melfi: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of Potenza (reference capital: Potenza), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (78/100).

Earthquakes · Melfi Air quality · Melfi

No weather alerts today for Melfi · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Matches the most accurate service in the province
Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 80% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time
Across 5 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Melfi, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (11:20) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in Potenza

Observed data for 11 October
23°
High
11°
Low
0.8 mm of rain
Hottest provincial capital in the regionColdest provincial capital in the region

The reference provincial capital for Melfi is Potenza

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Melfi is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

PZ50%BT12%AV11%FG10%SA6%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    78/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    3BMeteo
    75/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  3. 3
    Apple Weather
    74/100
    No public website
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    61/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    43/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for Potenza, compared with what actually happened

Apple WeatherWinner of the day
  • Apple Weather
    HighoffLowspot onRaincorrect
  • iLMeteo.it
    Highspot onLowcloseRainwrong
  • 3BMeteo
    HighoffLowspot onRaincorrect
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    HighoffLowspot onRainwrong
  • Meteo.it
    HighoffLowspot onRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • Apple Weather has called the rain right for 5 days in a row
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare has nailed the low for 4 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has nailed the low for 3 days in a row

The situation around Melfi

Around Potenza, precipitation was frequent over the past week. Meteo Aeronautica Militare leads the 14-day ranking for the Melfi area. On temperatures alone, however, iLMeteo.it is more accurate in the provincial capital's data. The wind made itself felt at moderate strength. On yesterday's report card for the provincial capital, the service ranked No. 5 over the week finished No. 1. Monteverde is the exception: a different service leads there. Worth noting: yesterday the service ranked last overall was among the two most accurate on the provincial capital's report card.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:06
Sunrise
18:20
Sunset
11h 15m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Melfi

Loading map…

Nearby towns

Monteverde
6.3 km
Rapolla
9.7 km
Barile
10.9 km
Rocchetta Sant'Antonio
11.4 km

Localities in Melfi

Contrada Parasacco
Femmina Morta
Foggianello
Foggiano
Leonessa di Melfi
San Giorgio di Melfi
San Nicola di Melfi
Solagna dei Piloni

Get to know Melfi

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the Potenza area had an average accuracy index of 68 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 67 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    68/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    68/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    63/100 · fairly reliable
17,425
Inhabitants
076048
ISTAT code
Potenza (PZ) • Basilicata