Oricola: which weather forecast is most accurate
Data come from the province of L'Aquila (reference capital: L'Aquila), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (67/100).
No weather alerts today for Oricola · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department
Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks
Meteo Aeronautica Militare
At the province level
Rain nearby, right now
The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Oricola, with light intensity.
Observed data from the latest radar sweep (12:20) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection
Yesterday in L'Aquila
Observed data for 11 OctoberThe reference provincial capital for Oricola is L'Aquila
How we calculate the score
Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Oricola is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.
How much each province counts
For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.
Provinces considered:
Weather service ranking for this area
- 1Meteo Aeronautica Militare67/100
- 2Apple Weather67/100No public website
- 33BMeteo64/100
- 4Meteo.it54/100
- 5iLMeteo.it46/100
Yesterday's report card
11 OctoberForecasts made the day before for L'Aquila, compared with what actually happened
- Apple WeatherHighcloseLowoffRainwrong
- iLMeteo.itHighspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
- 3BMeteoHighspot onLowcloseRainwrong
- Meteo.itHighcloseLowcloseRainwrong
- Meteo Aeronautica MilitareHighcloseLowcloseRainwrong
Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees
Ongoing streaks
- iLMeteo.it has called the rain right for 3 days in a row
- 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 3 days in a row
The situation around Oricola
Rain on a good share of the days around L'Aquila over the last seven days. Over the last 14 days, Meteo Aeronautica Militare has the highest score for the Oricola area, but the runner-up is less than 3 points behind: the ranking can change from one day to the next. For rain forecasts alone, however, the most accurate service in the provincial capital is Apple Weather. Little wind: light breezes on most days. Yesterday, in the check on the provincial capital, the week's No. 2 moved up to No. 1. In nearby municipalities (Riofreddo, Arsoli) first place is not uniform. Worth noting: yesterday the service ranked last overall was among the two most accurate on the provincial capital's report card. With this much rain, the part of the score that weighs most is the precipitation forecast (three quarters of the total).
Updated on 13 October 2026
Sun and moon today
3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated
Map of Oricola
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Nearby towns
Localities in Oricola
Get to know Oricola
Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the L'Aquila area had an average accuracy index of 65 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 88 of 107.
Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:
- For tomorrow65/100 · fairly reliable
- 2 days ahead66/100 · fairly reliable
- 5 days ahead59/100 · fairly reliable