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Back to the province of L'Aquila

Lucoli: which weather forecast is most accurate

Data come from the province of L'Aquila (reference capital: L'Aquila), combined with nearby provinces weighted by distance. Over the last two weeks, Meteo Aeronautica Militare got it wrong least often in this area (67/100).

Earthquakes · Lucoli Air quality · Lucoli

No weather alerts today for Lucoli · Source: Italian Civil Protection Department

Most accurate in this area, last 2 weeks

Meteo Aeronautica Militare

Data updated on 12 October 2026 at 14:48

At the province level

Catches 67% of actual rainfall
When it forecasts rain, it gets it right 100% of the time
Across 7 rainy days

Rain nearby, right now

The nearest rain core is less than 1 km north of the centre of Lucoli, with light intensity.

Observed data from the latest radar sweep (09:45) · Radar-DPC, Italian Civil Protection

Yesterday in L'Aquila

Observed data for 11 October
23°
High
15°
Low
2.3 mm of rain

The reference provincial capital for Lucoli is L'Aquila

How we calculate the score

Every day we compare the forecasts of 5 weather services with data measured in the provincial capitals. The score runs from 0 to 100 and covers the last 14 days: 75% is about forecasting rain and 25% about temperature. Lucoli is not a measuring point: the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by distance.

How we measure accuracy
How much each province counts

For this town the score combines data from 8 provinces, weighted by geographic distance.

Provinces considered:

AQ62%RI11%PE8%TE6%RM5%+3 more

Weather service ranking for this area

  1. 1
    Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    67/100
    meteoam.it(opens in a new tab)
  2. 2
    Apple Weather
    67/100
    No public website
  3. 3
    3BMeteo
    64/100
    3bmeteo.com(opens in a new tab)
  4. 4
    Meteo.it
    53/100
    meteo.it(opens in a new tab)
  5. 5
    iLMeteo.it
    43/100
    ilmeteo.it(opens in a new tab)

Yesterday's report card

11 October

Forecasts made the day before for L'Aquila, compared with what actually happened

Apple WeatherWinner of the day
  • Apple Weather
    HighcloseLowoffRainwrong
  • iLMeteo.it
    Highspot onLowcloseRaincorrect
  • 3BMeteo
    Highspot onLowcloseRainwrong
  • Meteo.it
    HighcloseLowcloseRainwrong
  • Meteo Aeronautica Militare
    HighcloseLowcloseRainwrong

Spot on = within 2 degrees · Close = within 4 degrees

Ongoing streaks

  • iLMeteo.it has called the rain right for 3 days in a row
  • 3BMeteo has nailed the high for 3 days in a row

The situation around Lucoli

Rain on a good share of the days around L'Aquila over the last seven days. Over the last 14 days, Meteo Aeronautica Militare has the highest score for the Lucoli area, but the runner-up is less than 3 points behind: the ranking can change from one day to the next. Looking at rain only, first place in the provincial capital goes to Apple Weather. Gentle breezes, with no notable gusts. Yesterday's report card reshuffled the order: the week's No. 2 finished No. 1. Ocre is the exception: a different service leads there. One more note: yesterday the service ranked last overall was among the two most accurate on the provincial capital's report card. In wet weeks like this one, rain forecasts matter most: they account for three quarters of the score.

Updated on 13 October 2026

Sun and moon today

07:16
Sunrise
18:28
Sunset
11h 12m
Daylight

3 fewer minutes of daylight than yesterday

Waxing crescent, 5% illuminated

Map of Lucoli

Loading map…

Nearby towns

L'Aquila
4.8 km
Ocre
8.2 km
Rocca di Cambio
8.5 km
Tornimparte
8.9 km

Localities in Lucoli

Casamaina
Casavecchia
Colle di Lucoli
Collimento
Francolisco
Lucoli Alto
Mercaturo
Michetti
Peschiolo
Piaggia

Get to know Lucoli

Over the last two months, next-day forecasts for the L'Aquila area had an average accuracy index of 65 out of 100 (average across all services). It is among the hardest areas to forecast in Italy: ranked 88 of 107.

Average accuracy by how far ahead the forecast is made:

  • For tomorrow
    65/100 · fairly reliable
  • 2 days ahead
    66/100 · fairly reliable
  • 5 days ahead
    59/100 · fairly reliable
1,019
Inhabitants
066052
ISTAT code
L'Aquila (AQ) • Abruzzo