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2.5
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EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

16 km North of Villafranca Tirrena

114 months ago · 27 Jan, 12:33

A light earthquake, rarely felt by people. Being deep, it is felt less at the surface.

Stronger than 95% of Italian events in the past year

Where

16 km North of Villafranca TirrenaEarthquakes in the province of MessinaEarthquakes in Sicilia

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

18 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

85kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×5.6 its energy
M2this quakeM4

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 44 s

Animation sped up ~8× compared to reality.

  • Messina
    20 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~20 s
    main shaking in ~34 s
  • Reggio di Calabria
    39 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~21 s
    main shaking in ~36 s
  • Acireale
    84 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~24 s
    main shaking in ~41 s
  • Lamezia Terme
    101 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~26 s
    main shaking in ~44 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

118 km
deep
13 times the height of Mount Everest

Being deep, it is felt less at the surface.

deeper than the area average (~44 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Foreshock

In hindsight it was a foreshock: 114 months ago the same area had a stronger quake (M2.8). This can only be said after the fact — it was not predictable beforehand.

2.8
The mainshock
25 km North of Villafranca Tirrena
114 months ago · 8 Feb, 02:52
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
1
last 24 hours
26
last 7 days
47
last 30 days
8 before9 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence2.8

How often does it happen here?

about every ~8 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2.5 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 530 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

19087.1
Stretto di Messina earthquake
28 December 1908 · 33 km from here
XICatastrophic: very few buildings remain standing; landslides and ground cracks.
17837.1
Calabria meridionale earthquake
5 February 1783 · 49 km from here
XICatastrophic: very few buildings remain standing; landslides and ground cracks.
17866.1
Golfo di Patti earthquake
10 March 1786 · 45 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.
18946.1
Calabria meridionale earthquake
16 November 1894 · 40 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Bagnara-Bovalino

The epicentre lies about 16 km from Bagnara-Bovalino, one of the seismic structures mapped by INGV geologists.

estimated maximum magnitude 7.1between 3 and 12 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

2.0
Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]
14 km North · 121 km
114 months ago
26 Jan, 11:28
2.6
Tirreno Meridionale [Mare]
17 km North-West · 130 km
114 months ago
29 Jan, 06:32
2.2
22 km North of Villafranca Tirrena
6 km North-East · 81 km
114 months ago
25 Jan, 04:11
1.0
114 months ago
31 Jan, 17:33
1.2
7 km North of Terme Vigliatore
29 km South-West · 10 km
114 months ago
31 Jan, 18:34
2.1
20 km North of Villafranca Tirrena
4 km North-East · 124 km
114 months ago
2 Feb, 00:10
2.8
25 km North of Villafranca Tirrena
12 km North-East · 168 km
114 months ago
8 Feb, 02:52
2.2
20 km North of Villafranca Tirrena
6 km North-East · 131 km
115 months ago
13 Jan, 03:13
2.4
Isole Eolie (Messina)
23 km North-West · 184 km
115 months ago
12 Jan, 07:21
1.9
114 months ago
15 Feb, 18:23

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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