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2.0
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EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

15 km North of Villafranca Tirrena

115 months ago · 1 Jan, 10:12

A light earthquake, rarely felt by people. Being deep, it is felt less at the surface.

Stronger than 88% of Italian events in the past year

Where

15 km North of Villafranca TirrenaEarthquakes in the province of MessinaEarthquakes in Sicilia

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

33 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

15kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×32 its energy
M1this quakeM3

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 44 s

Animation sped up ~8× compared to reality.

  • Messina
    18 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~20 s
    main shaking in ~34 s
  • Reggio di Calabria
    34 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~20 s
    main shaking in ~35 s
  • Acireale
    84 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~24 s
    main shaking in ~41 s
  • Lamezia Terme
    97 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~25 s
    main shaking in ~44 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

117 km
deep
13 times the height of Mount Everest

Being deep, it is felt less at the surface.

deeper than the area average (~45 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Aftershock

It is an aftershock: it follows a stronger quake (M3.3, 115 months ago) in the same area. Aftershocks are normal after an earthquake and tend to fade over time.

3.3
The mainshock
1 km South of Calanna
115 months ago · 29 Dec, 11:04
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
1
last 24 hours
6
last 7 days
28
last 30 days
17 before15 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence3.3

How often does it happen here?

about every ~2 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 1807 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

19087.1
Stretto di Messina earthquake
28 December 1908 · 29 km from here
XICatastrophic: very few buildings remain standing; landslides and ground cracks.
17837.1
Calabria meridionale earthquake
5 February 1783 · 43 km from here
XICatastrophic: very few buildings remain standing; landslides and ground cracks.
17866.1
Golfo di Patti earthquake
10 March 1786 · 49 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.
18946.1
Calabria meridionale earthquake
16 November 1894 · 35 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Bagnara-Bovalino

The epicentre lies about 10 km from Bagnara-Bovalino, one of the seismic structures mapped by INGV geologists.

estimated maximum magnitude 7.1between 3 and 12 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

2.0
115 months ago
1 Jan, 07:06
1.4
2 km South of Calanna
29 km South-East · 11 km
115 months ago
31 Dec, 21:55
2.3
2 km North of Calanna
27 km South-East · 10 km
115 months ago
2 Jan, 07:19
1.3
3 km South of Calanna
30 km South-East · 11 km
115 months ago
2 Jan, 07:21
1.5
1 km South of Calanna
28 km South-East · 11 km
115 months ago
3 Jan, 03:19
2.0
4 km South of Messina
22 km South · 54 km
115 months ago
3 Jan, 23:45
1.8
2 km South-East of Calanna
30 km South-East · 13 km
115 months ago
29 Dec, 20:11
1.8
2 km South of Calanna
29 km South-East · 12 km
115 months ago
29 Dec, 17:22
2.2
1 km South of Calanna
29 km South-East · 12 km
115 months ago
29 Dec, 17:03
1.5
1 km South of Calanna
29 km South-East · 12 km
115 months ago
29 Dec, 12:27

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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