All earthquakes
1.2
very light
EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

6 km East of Siena

19 months ago · 2 Feb, 19:31

A very light earthquake, probably not felt by people. At only a few km deep the shaking is felt more sharply at the surface.

Stronger than 47% of Italian events in the past year

Where

6 km East of SienaEarthquakes in the province of SienaEarthquakes in Toscana

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

61 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

1.0kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×501 its energy
M0this quakeM2

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 21 s

Animation sped up ~4× compared to reality.

  • Siena
    6 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~2 s
    main shaking in ~3 s
  • Arezzo
    48 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~8 s
    main shaking in ~14 s
  • Firenze
    57 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~10 s
    main shaking in ~16 s
  • Prato
    71 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~12 s
    main shaking in ~21 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

9 km
shallow
1.1 times the height of Mount Everest

At only a few km deep the shaking is felt more sharply at the surface.

in line with the area average (~9 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Foreshock

In hindsight it was a foreshock: 19 months ago the same area had a stronger quake (M3.2). This can only be said after the fact — it was not predictable beforehand.

3.2
The mainshock
6 km North-East of Monteroni d'Arbia
19 months ago · 2 Feb, 20:29
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
0
last 24 hours
0
last 7 days
4
last 30 days
30 before33 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence3.2

How often does it happen here?

about every ~12 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 357 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

15586.0
Valdarno superiore earthquake
13 April 1558 · 25 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.
14145.7
Colline Metallifere earthquake
7 August 1414 · 21 km from here
VII-VIIIRuinous: partial collapses in ordinary buildings, widespread heavy damage.
18955.5
Fiorentino earthquake
18 May 1895 · 48 km from here
VIIIRuinous: partial collapses in ordinary buildings, widespread heavy damage.
19095.3
Crete Senesi earthquake
25 August 1909 · 14 km from here
VII-VIIIRuinous: partial collapses in ordinary buildings, widespread heavy damage.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Mugello-Citta' di Castello-Leonessa

The epicentre lies about 51 km from Mugello-Citta' di Castello-Leonessa, one of the seismic structures mapped by INGV geologists.

estimated maximum magnitude 6.9between 1 and 8 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

2.5
19 months ago
2 Feb, 19:34
1.4
19 months ago
2 Feb, 19:24
1.4
5 km East of Siena
1 km North · 7 km
19 months ago
2 Feb, 19:23
1.8
4 km East of Siena
1 km West · 10 km
19 months ago
2 Feb, 19:22
1.1
6 km East of Siena
1 km North-East · 8 km
19 months ago
2 Feb, 19:20
1.3
2 km East of Siena
4 km West · 10 km
19 months ago
2 Feb, 19:20
1.3
5 km East of Siena
1 km West · 9 km
19 months ago
2 Feb, 19:19
2.3
4 km North of Monteroni d'Arbia
1 km South-West · 7 km
19 months ago
2 Feb, 19:17
1.8
4 km East of Siena
2 km West · 10 km
19 months ago
2 Feb, 19:14
1.5
5 km East of Siena
1 km West · 9 km
19 months ago
2 Feb, 19:13

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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