All earthquakes
0.8
very light
EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

2 km East of Santa Sofia

67 months ago · 22 Dec, 19:49

A very light earthquake, probably not felt by people. At this depth the shaking is felt, but rarely causes damage.

Stronger than 16% of Italian events in the past year

Where

2 km East of Santa SofiaEarthquakes in the province of Forlì-CesenaEarthquakes in Emilia-Romagna

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

44 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

0.2kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×1,995 its energy
M0this quakeM2

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 15 s

Animation sped up ~3× compared to reality.

  • Cesena
    32 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~6 s
    main shaking in ~10 s
  • Forlì
    36 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~6 s
    main shaking in ~11 s
  • Faenza
    43 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~7 s
    main shaking in ~13 s
  • Rimini
    51 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~9 s
    main shaking in ~15 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

11 km
medium depth
1.2 times the height of Mount Everest

At this depth the shaking is felt, but rarely causes damage.

in line with the area average (~12 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Foreshock

In hindsight it was a foreshock: 67 months ago the same area had a stronger quake (M3.0). This can only be said after the fact — it was not predictable beforehand.

3.0
The mainshock
6 km South-East of Predappio
67 months ago · 27 Dec, 11:29
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
0
last 24 hours
2
last 7 days
22
last 30 days
12 before31 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence3.0

How often does it happen here?

about every ~6 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 709 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

19196.4
Mugello earthquake
29 June 1919 · 35 km from here
XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
17816.1
Faentino earthquake
4 April 1781 · 39 km from here
IX-XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
16616.0
Appennino forlivese earthquake
22 March 1661 · 12 km from here
XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
15426.0
Mugello earthquake
13 June 1542 · 43 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Mugello-Citta' di Castello-Leonessa

The epicentre lies about 16 km from Mugello-Citta' di Castello-Leonessa, one of the seismic structures mapped by INGV geologists.

estimated maximum magnitude 6.9between 1 and 8 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

0.9
3 km East of Santa Sofia
1 km North-East · 11 km
67 months ago
22 Dec, 19:51
1.6
67 months ago
22 Dec, 19:59
1.1
5 km South of Sarsina
14 km East · 10 km
67 months ago
22 Dec, 21:29
2.0
67 months ago
25 Dec, 08:15
1.3
2 km East of Premilcuore
10 km North-West · 8 km
67 months ago
26 Dec, 01:25
1.4
1 km North-East of Premilcuore
12 km North-West · 9 km
67 months ago
26 Dec, 09:55
0.4
67 months ago
18 Dec, 06:08
3.0
6 km South-East of Predappio
19 km North-East · 37 km
67 months ago
27 Dec, 11:29
1.3
1 km South of Galeata
9 km North · 24 km
67 months ago
27 Dec, 21:25
1.0
67 months ago
17 Dec, 05:26

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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