All earthquakes
1.5
very light
EARTHQUAKE DETAILS

5 km South of San Godenzo

69 months ago · 1 Oct, 02:18

A very light earthquake, probably not felt by people. At only a few km deep the shaking is felt more sharply at the surface.

Stronger than 68% of Italian events in the past year

Where

5 km South of San GodenzoEarthquakes in the province of FirenzeEarthquakes in Toscana

How far away could it be felt?

A quake this small is usually not felt by people: only seismographs record it.

Statistical estimate from the Italian intensity attenuation model (INGV): actual perception depends on geology, buildings and depth. Very shallow events can be felt locally even below the threshold.

Earthquake map

24 events
Magnitude:lightweakmoderatestrong

The energy released

How much energy this quake unleashed, translated into everyday comparisons.

2.7kgof TNT equivalent
Less than the energy of a lightning bolt
M3
A magnitude 3 earthquake releases ×178 its energy
M1this quakeM3

Each extra magnitude unit releases about 32 times more energy: an M5 is not "a bit stronger" than an M4 — it is a different league.

Energy estimated with the standard Gutenberg–Richter relation; an average lightning bolt ≈ 1 billion joules. Indicative values.

The race of the seismic waves

Two waves set off from the hypocentre: the faster P wave arrives first with a sharp jolt; the S wave carries the actual shaking.

P waves — the first sharp jolt (~6 km/s)S waves — the strongest shaking (~3.5 km/s)
t ≈ 14 s

Animation sped up ~3× compared to reality.

  • Firenze
    35 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~6 s
    main shaking in ~10 s
  • Prato
    45 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~8 s
    main shaking in ~13 s
  • Forlì
    48 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~8 s
    main shaking in ~14 s
  • Faenza
    49 km from the epicentre
    first tremor in ~8 s
    main shaking in ~14 s

Theoretical times with average crustal speeds: real values vary with geology. The gap between P and S waves is what earthquake early-warning systems rely on.

How deep it was born

8 km
shallow

At only a few km deep the shaking is felt more sharply at the surface.

in line with the area average (~12 km)

For the same magnitude, a shallow earthquake is felt much more than a deep one: the energy starts closer to the surface.

What kind of quake is this?

Foreshock

In hindsight it was a foreshock: 69 months ago the same area had a stronger quake (M1.9). This can only be said after the fact — it was not predictable beforehand.

1.9
The mainshock
2 km East of Rocca San Casciano
69 months ago · 10 Oct, 21:22
Activity in the area right now (30 km radius)
0
last 24 hours
2
last 7 days
10
last 30 days
7 before16 after
this quake
Strongest of the sequence1.9

How often does it happen here?

about every ~5 days

Within 50 km of this epicentre, a magnitude ≥ 2 earthquake has occurred on average this often: 806 events in the last 12 years of the INGV catalogue.

An average computed on the recent past: it tells how used this area is to shaking, not when the next quake will come — earthquakes cannot be predicted.

The great earthquakes in this area's history

Almost a thousand years of catalogues: the strongest documented events within ~50 km.

19196.4
Mugello earthquake
29 June 1919 · 16 km from here
XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
17816.1
Faentino earthquake
4 April 1781 · 42 km from here
IX-XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
16616.0
Appennino forlivese earthquake
22 March 1661 · 24 km from here
XCompletely destructive: most buildings are destroyed.
15426.0
Mugello earthquake
13 June 1542 · 26 km from here
IXDestructive: many buildings partly or fully collapse.

Source: Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes CPTI15 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

The closest seismic structure

Mugello-Citta' di Castello-Leonessa

The epicentre sits above this source area: the deep structure where this area's earthquakes can originate.

estimated maximum magnitude 6.9between 1 and 8 km deep

Faults are mapped to build better and understand the territory: knowing them says nothing about when an earthquake will occur, which remains unpredictable. Source: DISS 3.3 (INGV, CC BY 4.0).

Other quakes in the area

0.9
7 km North-West of Tredozio
25 km North · 10 km
69 months ago
2 Oct, 20:15
1.6
69 months ago
4 Oct, 09:35
1.3
69 months ago
4 Oct, 18:13
1.3
6 km North-East of Bibbiena
24 km South-East · 14 km
70 months ago
27 Sept, 03:37
1.9
2 km East of Rocca San Casciano
27 km North-East · 26 km
69 months ago
10 Oct, 21:22
1.6
1 km North of Premilcuore
15 km North-East · 9 km
69 months ago
12 Oct, 13:27
1.0
1 km South-West of Galeata
24 km North-East · 33 km
70 months ago
15 Sept, 02:59
0.6
70 months ago
14 Sept, 23:56
1.5
2 km North-West of Premilcuore
14 km North-East · 9 km
69 months ago
17 Oct, 04:40
0.9
2 km North of Premilcuore
15 km North-East · 10 km
69 months ago
17 Oct, 08:46

Data: INGV — National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (CC-BY 4.0)

Estimates computed by Meteare on INGV data (Gutenberg–Richter relation; Italian macroseismic intensity attenuation model).

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